This important report, global trends 2030alternative worlds, released in 2012 by the u. Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file. National intelligence council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Average increase in percentage point share of global gdp, per decade percent urban population share of urban growth 100 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project is the third unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. A publication of the national intelligence council. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030.
Every four years since 1997, the national intelligence council has published an unclassified strategic assessment of how key trends and uncertainties might shape the world over the next 20 years to help senior us leaders think and plan for the longer term. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Jan 03, 20 the national intelligence council commissioned a report for upcoming global trends out to the year 2030. National intelligence councils new assessment of what the world will look like in 2030 shows significant business risks and opportunities from resource scarcity, urbanization. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes. More recently, after retiring and moving to the atlantic council, i partnered again. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. The global power structure, norms and the future of the liberal international order.
The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward. Industry can seize the high ground by getting ahead of the power curve and anticipating militarys needs in these areas. Dec 10, 2012 the national intelligence council s global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. Prominent roles predicted for demographic and environmental trends. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030.
As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. National intelligence council forecasts megatrends. Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing. How to read the national intelligence councils latest global. This detailed work has dozens of indepth blog posts, by experts in their fields. While i was the counselor at the us national intelligence council 200320 responsible for producing three editions of the highly rated global trends report,1 the pardee center was critical for the modeling of those trends. Global trends 2030 has done an admirable job of bringing these technological game changers the military as well as other users will need in the ensuing decades.
The report is timed to be especially relevant for the. The national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that. This is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Alternative worlds, which the atlantic council helped prepare, and global trends to 2030 and the prospects for chinaus relations, prepared under the direction of ciis and peking. Jan 11, 2017 two years ago, writes chairman of the national intelligence council gregory treverton, the global trends team began interviewing experts in and out of government around the world 2,500 people in all, from 35 countries. Us national intelligence council global trends 2030. Global trends to 2035 geopolitics and international power this study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape the world to 2035, namely an ageing population, fragile globalisation, a technological revolution, climate change, shifting power.
Recent chinese leadership priorities and their implications for the united states, national intelligence council, 30 june 1999. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world. The atlantic council s brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030. Challenges and choices for europe global trends to 2030 towards a culture of preparedness and anticipation against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. As with the nics national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an.
Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The national intelligence council gave overall direction to the yearlong effort, assisted by colleagues from other intelligence agencies and offices. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. A publication of the national intelligence council by national intelligence council 20151204 paperback january 1, 1831 2. We sought out and drew heavily on experts outside the intelligence. Trends and projections, 19992000, national intelligence council, august 1999.
Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. Most forecasts indicate that by 2020 chinas gross national product gnp will. Democratic change in russia and china and the liberal international order. National intelligence council global trends 2030 on. Global trends 2030 rapport du national intelligence council. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. Sep 17, 20 the chinaus joint working group assessment builds on reports by experts in the two countries, including the us national intelligence councils global trends 2030. May 05, 20 this video summarizes the four megatrends as identified in the national intelligence council s report titled global trends 2030. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project open pdf 6 mb mapping the global future. Global trends 2015 is not a traditional intelligence product based on classic intelligence sources, methods and procedures.
In a new report entitled global trends 2030 alternative worlds pdf large file, the national intelligence council says that due to global economic changes, shifting in investments and the sudden rise of other nations to buck the u. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds, released by the office of the director of national intelligence, the apex body of 16 us intelligence agencies, says china alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the united states a few years before 2030. Bill burkewhite moderated what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Nov 10, 20 peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. The atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence councils nic global trends 2030. Dec 10, 2012 the atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence councils nic global trends 2030. A publication of the national intelligence council global trends january 2017. Councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030.